Option Focus | Credo Technology's $1.35 Million OTM Call Buy at $185 Strike Signals Bullish Conviction, While Near-Record-Low IV Percentile Suggests Cheap Premiums for the Upside Bet

Option Witch
2 hours ago

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd finished the latest session at 164.17 USD, a 0.64% decline.

A single $1.35 million out-of-the-money call purchase dominated CRDO’s large options flow, signaling strong bullish conviction despite the modest pullback in shares. The trade centered on 3,000 contracts at the 185.0 strike for a September 2026 expiration, with near-record-low implied volatility percentile making the upside bet unusually cheap to finance relative to the stock’s own recent pricing history.

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Options Indicators

CRDO’s implied volatility stands at 74.03%, but its IV percentile is just 3.97%, which indicates that relative to its own recent history, volatility is actually on the low side and options are cheaply priced rather than expensive. This is reinforced by the IV/HV ratio of 0.63, suggesting implied volatility is running below realized volatility, so current option premiums appear relatively inexpensive from a historical pricing perspective.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.70, confirming that options traders are leaning clearly toward bullish positioning over bearish protection in the current tape.

Large Trades

A call buy worth $1.35 million dominated the large-trade flow in CRDO, with 3,000 contracts purchased at the 185.0 strike for expiration on 2026-09-18. With the stock reference price at $164.17, this call was out of the money, making it a clear bullish directional position that targets upside over a longer-dated horizon. The willingness to pay premium for an OTM call at this tenor suggests the buyer is looking for meaningful appreciation rather than near-term income, and it reflects confidence that CRDO can rally above the strike over time.

Overall, the large-trade activity points to a clearly bullish tone in CRDO. The flow was entirely one-sided, led by aggressive premium buying in an out-of-the-money long-dated call, which typically signals expectation of higher prices and a willingness to position for upside convexity. With no meaningful bearish large-trade activity offsetting that order, the options block flow suggests constructive sentiment and a positive directional outlook for the stock.

Strategy Reference

For traders seeking to collect premium with a low assignment probability, selling the 120.0 strike put for the same September 2026 expiry offers a wide cushion roughly 26.90% below spot, while those who prefer defined risk to avoid heavy margin could structure a bullish call spread such as buying the 170.0 call and selling the 195.0 call.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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