On August 25, Intuit fell 14.39% in after-hours trading, trading at approximately $309.59/share, with turnover of $68.43 million. The sharp decline followed the company's fiscal Q4 earnings release after the close.
The sell-off confirmed deep market concerns that had been building for weeks. Multiple investment banks had slashed price targets ahead of the report: Morgan Stanley downgraded to Equal Weight with a target cut from $580 to $335, citing AI disruption risks to TurboTax and investor skepticism around revenue acceleration. TD Cowen downgraded to Hold with a $304 target. Citigroup cut its target from $591 to $457, Mizuho from $500 to $430, and Jefferies from $550 to $500. Morgan Stanley had explicitly warned of downside risk to both Q4 results and fiscal 2027 guidance, noting the market would view any TurboTax growth guidance at or above the Street's 6% consensus as aggressive given structural AI risks. The after-hours plunge validated these concerns, as valuation pressure from AI disruption fears in the tax preparation business materialized into broad selling.
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